BBO Discussion Forums: Pure judgment - BBO Discussion Forums

Jump to content

Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

Pure judgment Sort of an ATB, EW vul, teams

Poll: How should it go (22 member(s) have cast votes)

Pick one of the following

  1. E should bid 3N (17 votes [77.27%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 77.27%

  2. E should bid 2N and W should bid 3N (1 votes [4.55%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 4.55%

  3. E should bid 2N and W should pass (1 votes [4.55%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 4.55%

  4. E should pass 1N (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  5. E should pass or bid 3N, never 2N, no strong preference (3 votes [13.64%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 13.64%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is online   Cyberyeti 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 13,979
  • Joined: 2009-July-13
  • Location:England

Posted 2012-February-28, 05:46



W opens a 12-14 no trump.

EW have no system to show an invite with diamonds, so the options are P/2N/3N.

In style, E would bid 3N with say 75% of balanced 12 counts and 2N with the rest of the 12s and about 80% of 11s, in terms of assessing what E should bid and whether W is bidding 3N over 2N.
0

#2 User is offline   G_R__E_G 

  • PipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 343
  • Joined: 2005-May-26
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Canada

Posted 2012-February-28, 07:47

I'd definitely bid 3NT with the east hand given the prescribed conditions.
Visit my club website www.midlanddbc.com
1

#3 User is offline   ArtK78 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 7,786
  • Joined: 2004-September-05
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Galloway NJ USA
  • Interests:Bridge, Poker, participatory and spectator sports.
    Occupation - Tax Attorney in Atlantic City, NJ.

Posted 2012-February-28, 08:42

I would never bid 3NT with the East cards opposite a 12-14 1NT.

What I would do is sign off in 3 using whatever methods are available to the partnership.

Quite frankly, with the East hand, I would be more worried that the opps had a playable contract in a major than I would be about missing a game.

Missing this "game" turns out to be no catastrophe. Assuming that the defenders attack one of the black suits at every opportunity (certainly not a sure thing) 3NT will depend upon the Q being onside (or 2-2 diamonds with the A onside if that is your line of play).

If I were playing the methods that I use over a 10-12 1NT then I would bid 3, which is defined as "slightly invitational."
0

#4 User is offline   gwnn 

  • Csaba the Hutt
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 13,027
  • Joined: 2006-June-16
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Göttingen, Germany
  • Interests:bye

Posted 2012-February-28, 08:56

At the risk of sitting on the fence, I think any approach is reasonable here (pass, sign off in diamonds, invite in diamonds, balanced invite, bid 3NT) and any outcome is OK (being in 1NT, 3, 2NT or 3NT).

If gwnn played with gwnn2, I think their auction would go 1NT-end or 1NT-3NT.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
0

#5 User is offline   wyman 

  • Redoubling with gusto
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 1,712
  • Joined: 2009-October-19
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Las Vegas, NV
  • Interests:Math, Bridge, Beer. Often at the same time.

Posted 2012-February-28, 09:22

View PostArtK78, on 2012-February-28, 08:42, said:

Quite frankly, with the East hand, I would be more worried that the opps had a playable contract in a major


In my judgment, this is another way that raising can win. I'd probably invite with 2N. After 1N - p - p, opps are sure to come in. Aggressive opponents may also come in after a drop in 3D.
"I think maybe so and so was caught cheating but maybe I don't have the names right". Sure, and I think maybe your mother .... Oh yeah, that was someone else maybe. -- kenberg

"...we live off being battle-scarred veterans who manage to hate our opponents slightly more than we hate each other.” -- Hamman, re: Wolff
0

#6 User is offline   gnasher 

  • Andy Bowles
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 11,993
  • Joined: 2007-May-03
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:London, UK

Posted 2012-February-28, 09:28

It's hard to tell who's being serious here (starting with the original poster). To me it looks completely obvious to raise to 3NT, regardless of what other methods are available. I don't think that it requires much judgement to recognise this, and on the two hands I'd want to be in game at any form of scoring.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
0

#7 User is online   Cyberyeti 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 13,979
  • Joined: 2009-July-13
  • Location:England

Posted 2012-February-28, 09:33

View PostArtK78, on 2012-February-28, 08:42, said:

I would never bid 3NT with the East cards opposite a 12-14 1NT.

What I would do is sign off in 3 using whatever methods are available to the partnership.

Quite frankly, with the East hand, I would be more worried that the opps had a playable contract in a major than I would be about missing a game.

Missing this "game" turns out to be no catastrophe. Assuming that the defenders attack one of the black suits at every opportunity (certainly not a sure thing) 3NT will depend upon the Q being onside (or 2-2 diamonds with the A onside if that is your line of play).

If I were playing the methods that I use over a 10-12 1NT then I would bid 3, which is defined as "slightly invitational."

Your method of signing off in a minor will tell you partner has <4 diamonds and <5 clubs, had partner shown 4 diamonds, would you be interested ?

The danger is not what partner actually has where tbh I don't care that much whether I'm in it or not, but that partner has Axxx, xx, AJxx QJx or similar where 3N is excellent, and 2N doesn't get you there, and lots of 14 counts where 3N is poor and possibly dialling a number if it doesn't make AKxx, xx, xxx, AKxx is not only going -1 a lot of a time on a heart lead if the diamonds are 3-1 without a stiff ace onside, AKxx, xxx, Qx, KQxx is also revolting on a heart lead and potentially dialling quite a few.

As you might gather from the above, my view is the 5th option, don't bid 2N but idc what you do.
0

#8 User is offline   daveharty 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 694
  • Joined: 2010-October-21
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Ann Arbor, MI
  • Interests:Bridge, juggling, disc sports, Jane Austen, writing, cosmology, and Mexican food

Posted 2012-February-28, 10:37

3NT for me, sixth diamond with two sure entries tips it. I've been down before.
Revised Bridge Personality: 44 43 33 44

Dianne, I'm holding in my hand a small box of chocolate bunnies... --Agent Dale Cooper
0

#9 User is offline   aguahombre 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 12,029
  • Joined: 2009-February-21
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:St. George, UT

Posted 2012-February-28, 11:03

View PostCyberyeti, on 2012-February-28, 05:46, said:

EW have no system to show an invite with diamonds, so the options are P/2N/3N.

Since I dislike the idea of debating the conditions instead of answering the OP, I will first answer: 3NT ---Gnasher's rationale is fine.

Now, about the conditions: :rolleyes: If the opponents are not weak-notrumpers, I would want a method to show an invite with diamonds available. That way, we could have an equivalent auction and partner's decision whether to accept the game try would beat them on judgement. If the opponents are also weak notrumpers, I would hope that they do have a system to invite with diamonds and will use it/guess wrong.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
0

#10 User is online   Cyberyeti 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 13,979
  • Joined: 2009-July-13
  • Location:England

Posted 2012-February-28, 11:50

View Postaguahombre, on 2012-February-28, 11:03, said:

Since I dislike the idea of debating the conditions instead of answering the OP, I will first answer: 3NT ---Gnasher's rationale is fine.

Now, about the conditions: :rolleyes: If the opponents are not weak-notrumpers, I would want a method to show an invite with diamonds available. That way, we could have an equivalent auction and partner's decision whether to accept the game try would beat them on judgement. If the opponents are also weak notrumpers, I would hope that they do have a system to invite with diamonds and will use it/guess wrong.

Nice point but it's a county match so teams of 8 with 4 scores added and IMPed and it's early enough in the match that you have no clue what opps play.
0

#11 User is offline   ggwhiz 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 3,952
  • Joined: 2008-June-23
  • Gender:Male

Posted 2012-February-28, 11:58

View Postaguahombre, on 2012-February-28, 11:03, said:

Since I dislike the idea of debating the conditions


I actually think the conditions are key here and similar posts have helped me identify holes in my own agreements.

If I can bid 3 invitational to 3nt that is important to this system. If I can't I'm pinning the tail on the donkey and hoping it's not me. Perhaps 4-suit transfers with 2nt xfer to and 3 to show above average acceptance is the answer but something is needed.

I guess the odds favour signing off in 3 but it would be nice to have something more to go by.
When a deaf person goes to court is it still called a hearing?
What is baby oil made of?
0

#12 User is offline   aguahombre 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 12,029
  • Joined: 2009-February-21
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:St. George, UT

Posted 2012-February-28, 12:34

GG: slightly better to quote the whole sentence, which said..."instead of answering the OP".
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
0

#13 User is offline   ggwhiz 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 3,952
  • Joined: 2008-June-23
  • Gender:Male

Posted 2012-February-28, 12:47

View Postaguahombre, on 2012-February-28, 12:34, said:

GG: slightly better to quote the whole sentence, which said..."instead of answering the OP".


Mea culpa but I just assumed anyone could go up a touch and see that I'm in agreement.
When a deaf person goes to court is it still called a hearing?
What is baby oil made of?
0

#14 User is offline   nigel_k 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 2,207
  • Joined: 2009-April-26
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Wellington, NZ

Posted 2012-February-28, 13:19

I think the odds favour 3NT, but signoff in diamonds is not obviously wrong. I would not invite with 2NT though, because I want to play either 3NT or diamonds and 2NT doesn't work as a compromise.
0

#15 User is offline   Free 

  • mmm Duvel
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 10,728
  • Joined: 2003-July-30
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Belgium
  • Interests:Duvel, Whisky

Posted 2012-February-28, 14:55

With these constraints I'd just bid 3NT with the East hand. It has reasonable making chances, opps may even lead the wrong suit when our s are running,...
"It may be rude to leave to go to the bathroom, but it's downright stupid to sit there and piss yourself" - blackshoe
0

#16 User is offline   Codo 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 6,373
  • Joined: 2003-March-15
  • Location:Hamburg, Germany
  • Interests:games and sports, esp. bridge,chess and (beach-)volleyball

Posted 2012-February-28, 17:35

I would like to have a tool for inivtational in a minor too.
But I would not use it on this hand. I would simply blast 3 NT with the east hand without breething too deep. At imps this is done within 0,0001 seconds, at imps it will take thousand times as long, but the outcome will be the same...
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
0

#17 User is offline   whereagles 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 14,900
  • Joined: 2004-May-11
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Portugal
  • Interests:Everything!

Posted 2012-March-04, 14:34

1-3 does have some appeal..
0

Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users