
Thanks to all for your votes and comments. At the table in a Speedball game I made a game try which was accepted putting me in a terrible contract. Later, as I thought about it, I realized these types of hands usually play wretchedly. One hand is 4-5 opposite a four card fit, and the 5 bagger doesn't run. Plus, my
♣ king is probably not much good on offense.
So, I tried two types of analysis. LOTT tells a strong story. Most likely both sides have one eight card fit - 16 trumps. Evidently, no voids or very long side suits. My
♣ K973 is a negative adjustment. Looks suspiciously like a 15 trick hand. If we make 4
♠ (unlikely), then their limit in clubs is five tricks. Hard to buy that. Going plus at 2
♠ also looks pretty good.
I Fought the Law tells a similar story. Assuming pard has a stiff
♣, then our total of 'working points' is likely 10 in
♠ and 4 or 5 in
♦ (or maybe the
♥ ace) for a total of, say, 14.5. According to IFL tables (pg.149), we have nine tricks.
Turns out partner had:
A1094
AK982
Q4
108
This is a good hand for the earlier bidding so they accepted my stupid game try.