Judgment check - sit or go?
#1
Posted 2018-February-16, 12:35
♠ x
♥ QJx
♦ Jxxx
♣ AQT9x
Auction goes:
P-P-1C-1S
X-4S-P-P
X-P-?
#2
Posted 2018-February-16, 12:50
perko90, on 2018-February-16, 12:35, said:
♠ x
♥ QJx
♦ Jxxx
♣ AQT9x
Auction goes:
P-P-1C-1S
X-4S-P-P
X-P-?
Pass?
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#3
Posted 2018-February-16, 12:50
#4
Posted 2018-February-16, 13:05
I loosen it up a bit only at these colors specifically (NV v NV), but ptr (North) maintains it at all colors.
#5
Posted 2018-February-16, 13:37
Your partner is a passed hand and has then made a take-out (negative) double of the 1♠ overcall. He is not showing spades. He still has the same hand when he makes the second double, but is probably showing some extra values (a maximum pass). The trouble is that we are looking at one defensive trick - maybe two at a stretch. How many defensive tricks do we expect our passed-hand partner to provide? I'm running - 4NT looks the best way of finding our fit.
#6
Posted 2018-February-16, 14:48
What basically happened is, I told P a story about my hand, but unfortunately I lied and now have to live with the consequences.
If I were N I would be very dissapointed not to beat 4S looking at 2 tricks opposite supposedly opening values.
Agree with 4NT.
regards
JW
#7
Posted 2018-February-16, 14:49
#8
Posted 2018-February-16, 16:25
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#9
Posted 2018-February-17, 03:43
Nice problem! Two thoughts:
If I open a hand I’m offering partner 3 1/2 defensive tricks and although I expect a bit of latitude in 3rd position I’d still imply some defence. I have one or even none at all
And the hand itself is less important now. The issue as I see it is our partnership. My partner has offered a take out with some Hearts and now with the second double a scattering of points, partner is well aware that my bid can be a third position effort. Can I see us beating 4S? Gifting 4S doubled to them will just upset partner; I can’t do that: 4NT it has to be!
#10
Posted 2018-February-17, 05:58
Here we shouldn't really have opened (maybe Tramticket's 3C is an option if you're into that sort of masochistic stuff ), but I still pass. We have CA and HQJ for something approaching two defensive tricks, plus the hand sounds like a misfit with potential bad breaks and 5m could get costly.
ahydra
#11
Posted 2018-February-17, 07:17
As regards souths defensive tricks I first put in 1 1/2 clubs and 1 heart, total 2 1/2 defensive tricks. And then reflect
Based on what I’ve heard I’m going to pencil in West with a black-ish hand. And east got excited, so I’m pencilling in spades and reds with club shortage. So I can easily see my club tricks down to 1 or none. And the hearts could easily just be too slow for a trick. Declarer will establish a side suit and rid the losers there. So as I say I’m only setting aside 1 or no defensive tricks as south. Hence after partner passed originally I can easily see 4S doubled tick up one
As regards the earlier bids well yes of course I’d not open. And even more importantly North absolutely must not make the second double. But that’s not what the question was
And yes too, I do fear for a -800 but hope a -300/500 beats a sure -690 for a few match points at least
This post has been edited by 0deary: 2018-February-17, 07:22
#12
Posted 2018-February-17, 08:29
I'm expecting North to have 2+ red suit quick tricks and an obvious spade lead. Pass.
#15
Posted 2018-February-17, 09:29
1♣ is a truly awful effort. My partner is entitled to expect 2 defensive tricks. Yes we can open weak in 3rd seat but not 1♣ swap the black suits and even my gran opens 1♠.
I am not opening 3♣ without 6 of them.
If I have it in my aresnal, I would consider opening 2N
#16
Posted 2018-February-17, 09:48
Another factor is that it is bad for partnership confidence if you take out partner’s doubles because you were light for your previous bid. Partner will understand if you were trying to put pressure on, but it went wrong. He will be less pleased if you go for 300 or more and you could have picked up +100 by passing.
#17
Posted 2018-February-17, 11:08
Also I shall tell him that I do not like David Byrd's irritation dbl convention.
If none of the above applies I will compliment him with his perfect judgement.
Maarten Baltussen
#18
Posted 2018-February-17, 13:27
#19
Posted 2018-February-17, 14:40
To open light in 3rd/4th we apply the rule of 15 which this hands fails to meet by 4! And I need to add 2Js and 2Qs to the count to even get there
Opps easily have an 11 card fit and P a real takeout and expects us to hold some Spades and/or Defence.
Maybe Partner should not have doubled 4♠ but that's what happened so we have to limit the damage.
The field should be somewhere in 3-4♠. After 1♠ by West an undisturbed East might settle for 3♠.
If 9 tricks are the limit for E-W we're in great shape rigth now.
If 10 tricks are possible we are allowed to go -3 and will still do better than 4♠X=. And we have a shot at a magic -2 to even beat those in 4♠= which is not found at another table, because other Souths did not open. If most of the field is in 3♠+1 we're screwed anyway, unless the cards are
where we hit the magic jackpot in 5♦X-1. And yes I know that there are layouts where 4♠ doesn't make and 5m goes down for a 4 digit number
If I had a transient lose of consciousness and opened 1♣, my P would never play me for what I have. So I would have to run after having regained my consciousness
But I also agree with the sentiment that, if this was close to something I could have, I would have to stand the double and hope for the best.
regards
JW
#20
Posted 2018-February-17, 15:21
It looks like the lesson here is that a practiced partnership knows 1) how bad a third seat opener can be when opener is just trying to suggest a lead and 2) that they are in agreement that third seat will run like a rodent when partner doubles.