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That's not a lead What can East lead to defeat the contract?

#1 User is offline   pilowsky 

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Posted 2021-March-17, 18:26



THIS is a lead.
I suppose that in Bridge, as in life, one has to expect the unexpected and be prepared. (http://bit.ly/NotaKnife).
From an EBU game.
West bid 3♣, and my partner overcalled 3♠. East passed.
You can imagine that I was a little surprised; the odds of a 7600 distribution are about 18/1 (0.0056%). That's real-world data from a site where I make deals. According to Bill Butler (http://durangobill.c...rSuitStats.html), the actual result is (If I have 7, the probability of someone else having 6 is (possible combinations: 4,272,048), P=0.000526.
Bill also plays the piano! https://www.youtube....h?v=r4Tho0nyHZk.
East then led the ♦K.

The most interesting part of this hand is that apart from (or perhaps because of) its shapeliness, the contract can be defeated, but only if East finds the 'killer lead'.
What would that be? Why?


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The actual hand
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The makeable and optimal contracts
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Fortuna Fortis Felix
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#2 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2021-March-18, 04:17

Clearly it's a small heart to utilise the power of partner's 9 to neutralise dummy's 7.

Expect self kibitzing accusations if you find it, fun hand.
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