JLOGIC, on 2011-April-15, 15:06, said:
No offense but it seems like you don't have much experience with weak NT if you really think having a good lead or getting to 13 opp 13 games is our primary concern.
I probably played weak nt and played vs weak NT, long before you were born for a long time. And experienced enough not to put such restrictions to both pds where they can have 24-27 hcp combined. Did you know that you would probably have decent chances with only 23-24 hcps when knowing which defender has what and that they are disabled to get to each others's hand and play the suits efficiently for their benefit in defense ? Speaking of experience, an advice from an inexperienced player to you, if they open weak NT and your side decides to play game, try to play 3NT as much as possible even with 8 card majors
You tried to make a similarity with preempts but sticking your nose into auction at 3-4 level with balanced hands is one thing, 2 level is another. And everyone is talking as if it is only 13 vs 13 balanced hands that puts us in jeopardy. Anytime we are 23+ hcp combined we are in borderline game zone, given the facts i stated above.
And i still insist it is strange to think that 15+ hcp DBL is a cure for all this, because you are assuming that the expected average HCP from pd will remain the same when we raise our DBL requirement from 13 to 15. Which is not the case.
Expected HCP from pd will be reduced 1/2 trick for each 1 hcp u raise the minimum DBL requirement. So if we take NT opener as 13 hcp on average 15+13=28 40-28 =12 12/2=6 15+6=21 hcp While a 13 hcp DBL brings us average of 20 hcp. I am telling you, this 1 hcp extra for your side in long run is NOT a cure for the disadvantages you and others stated. I mean you guys are talking as if there is a significant/huge difference, but thats FAR from the truth. So basically just to be able to have 1 HCP extra in long run, you are telling 1 pd to pass with all balanced hands less than 15 and to pass all balanced hands less than 14 to the other. And i am not even mentioning the fact that each time 2nd seat passes over a weak NT, responder has various options to screw our side, especially when he is protected by the colors.
Of course when i DBL 1 nt i am hoping to defend 1 NT, but telling me that they will bid and find a safe heaven to land is not fair while telling me we would be doomed when it is my pd who has a poor hand. And you are not offering more than 1 jack extra as a solution to this in long run.
So let it be, you DBL with 15+ and keep an extra Jack in your pocket for your side, while i go thru same risks u do with 1 jack less but make sure noone plays 1NT uncontested when i am cold for game.