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your lead vs. slam

Poll: your lead vs. slam (16 member(s) have cast votes)

which suit to lead?

  1. club (12 votes [75.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 75.00%

  2. diamond (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  3. heart (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  4. spade (4 votes [25.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 25.00%

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#1 User is offline   Stephen Tu 

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Posted 2015-April-18, 21:38

Matchpoints

2nt = 22-24
3d = transfer
4s = cue bid
4n = RKC
5D = one key card
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#2 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2015-April-18, 21:59

View PostStephen Tu, on 2015-April-18, 21:38, said:


Matchpoints
2nt = 22-24
3d = transfer
4s = cue bid
4n = RKC
5D = one key card
IMO K = 10, J = 7, 4 = 6, 2 = 5, 6 = 3.
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#3 User is offline   WesleyC 

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Posted 2015-April-19, 03:38

K. Although I have a sneaking suspicion that this won't turn out to be the winning lead on the actual hand...
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#4 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2015-April-19, 11:21

the King of Clubs, anything else is beyond me.
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#5 User is offline   PhantomSac 

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Posted 2015-April-19, 18:16

King of clubs seems super normal
The artist formerly known as jlall
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#6 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2015-April-19, 18:26

If we still have even a little hope in the game we are in, then K. If not, lead small and try to get into bulletin or at least have a story to tell and brag, when dummy has something like J9xxx and declarer has AK8x + a side loser.Posted Image

Joke aside, K is normal as everyone else said. But KQ may be our only 2 tricks behind 2 opener unless we lead them.
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#7 User is offline   Stephen Tu 

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Posted 2015-April-19, 19:19

Well, I led the CK and it didn't work out. The main problem was that declarer managed to drop the doubleton HQ offside missing 5 trumps, having super accepted with AKx. If he had finessed obv the CK would have worked fine. No lead wins if declarer picks up the HQ. On the actual hand the CK didn't really blow anything since declarer had enough pitches to only lose one club, but on another day it could have worked out really badly (with opps having 9/10 cd heart fit and dropping Q more normal), as partner had a small stiff club and KQ were behind the ace. Actual hand aside, I just didn't know whether my lead was "normal" or bad, the problem is I know pretty much nothing about dummy's hand shape from the bidding other than 5 cd hearts.
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#8 User is offline   shellsnail 

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Posted 2015-April-21, 18:06

You're holding 8 points. On this bidding your partner is unlikely to hold an ace or king.

I'm thinking your best chance is to lead KC and hope declarer guesses heart wrongly.

If you lead anything else, there's always the chance he might pitch away the club loser after he messes up trumps.

On the other hand, if you really think they have a 9 card heart fit, then perhaps avoiding the club lead is best and hope for 2 club tricks to appear. But I'm pretty sure in most of those layouts declarer will have some sort of strip end-play available, so it might not matter that much.
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