y66, on 2017-September-25, 19:29, said:
I certainly think the Comey letter had a major, probably a decisive, impact. But let me present an analogy, trigger warning it is a little morbid.
My mother died of cancer. That's true. It is also true that she had been smoking for 40+ years. You see my point? There are proximate causes and long term causes.
By that time in the campaign, there should have been no undisclosed emails on the Weiner computer for Comey to write a letter about. The immediate cause was the Comey letter. But that should not have been possible as an immediate cause.
I have argued before that part of what we see in a campaign is the ability of the candidate to deal effectively with troubles. On this, and on similar matters, she did not look good.
It is truly important to understand just how things went so badly wrong.
Here is another aspect. We were watching the news tonight when they were speaking of the Kurdish vote, a referendum on separate statehood. I asked Becky: "Do you think one in a hundred Americans can say what makes a Kurd a Kurd?". I don't know, Becky didn't know, I doubt that my bridge partner of today would know or my next door neighbors know or my daughters know. Of course I could look it up. I wish the best for the Kurds, the Iraqis, the Turks, the Syrians, and all that are involved in this problem but my understanding of it is weak. I not only acknowledge that I insist it is so.
So people do not really choose whom to vote for based on a position paper regarding Kurds. They do notice whether the candidate is or is not able to solve a problem. People see the email problem come up again and they say "I thought she took care of this. I guess she didn't." This hurt her far more than any specifics about the emails. There should not have been more emails to discover. Not on Weiner's computer, not anywhere. It does not matter if they were copies of other, already read, emails. There needed to be nothing to be found. That should have been totally clear to Clinton and to her staff.
I am not claiming this is the whole story. I do very much believe it is part of it.